Canadian federal election results in Newfoundland and Labrador explained

Canadian federal elections have provided the following results in Newfoundland and Labrador.

Regional profile

Newfoundland and Labrador has been a Liberal heartland since it joined Canada in 1949, with only the city of St. John's electing Progressive Conservatives on a relatively consistent basis in the past, though that support shifted to the NDP and Liberal parties in 2006 and to the NDP in the 2008 elections. Even in the 1984 Mulroney landslide, more rural and remote seats went Liberal than PC. The Conservatives picked up one seat in the 2006 election, but the Liberals still held a majority of the seats.[1] Party preference here has a lot to do with religion, where Catholics tend to vote Conservative and Protestants Liberal (contrary to the rest of the country).

In 2008, the Anything But Conservative movement took hold here and the Conservatives lost all their seats to the Liberals and NDP.

In the 2011 election, Newfoundland and Labrador was the only province to have the Liberals win in terms of popular vote. They however did lose 2 seats, 1 to the Tories and one to the NDP.[2] [3]

In the 2015 election, Newfoundland and Labrador's Liberal slant was taken to a new level, with Justin Trudeau's Liberals capturing every seat in the province (as well as all other Atlantic provinces), most by landslide majorities.[4] [5] In Bonavista—Burin—Trinity, they received 81.78% of the vote – the highest share obtained by any party in any riding in 2015.

In the 2019 election, the NDP recaptured St. John's East while the other 6 seats all stayed Liberal.

In the 2021 election, the Liberal Party of Canada won 6 out 7 ridings in Newfoundland and Labrador including re-capturing the NDP's St. John's East riding. The Conservative Party of Canada was successful in winning the Liberal riding of Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame. Finally, the NDP were shut-out of NL.

Votes by party throughout time

Election /
197981,861
41.7%
59,978
30.6%
54,376
27.7%
198095,354
47.0%
33,943
16.7%
72,999
36.0%
749
0.4%
198487,778
36.4%
13,993
5.8%
138,867
57.6%
521
0.2%
1988115,588
45.0%
31,769
12.4%
108,349
42.2%
1,025
0.4%
1993155,237
67.3%
8,080
3.5%
61,488
26.7%
2,392
1.0%
3,393
1.5%
199784,657
37.9%
49,125
22.0%
388
0.2%
82,214
36.8%
5,632
2.5%
1,564
0.7%
2000103,103
44.9%
29,993
13.1%
79,157
34.5%
8,837
3.9%
8,408
3.7%
200495,254
48.0%
64,158
32.3%
34,700
17.5%
3,117
1.6%
1,263
0.6%
200697,452
42.8%
97,159
42.7%
30,882
13.6%
2,046
0.9%
200891,025
46.8%
32,261
16.6%
65,680
33.7%
3,259
1.7%
179
0.1%
201182,344
37.9%
61,562
28.3%
70,868
32.6%
1,954
0.9%
608
0.3%
2015165,418
64.5%
26,469
10.3%
54,120
21.1%
2,772
1.1%
7,501
2.9%
2019109,148
44.9%
67,962
27.9%
57,664
23.7%
7,617
3.1%
335
0.1%
141
0.1%
2021104,240
47.8%
70,783
32.5%
37,743
17.3%
5,150
2.4%

Representation history by area

Representation Trinity Bay (West) Trinity Bay (East) Conception Bay (West) Avalon Peninsula (South) Conception Bay South
1949Burin—BurgeoHumber—St. George'sGrand Falls—White BayBonavista—TwillingateTrinity—ConceptionSt. John's WestSt. John's East
1952Burin—BurgeoHumber—St. George'sGrand Falls—White Bay—LabradorBonavista—TwillingateTrinity—ConceptionSt. John's WestSt. John's East
1966Burin—BurgeoHumber—St. George's—St. BarbeGrand Falls—White Bay—LabradorGander—TwillingateBonavista—Trinity—ConceptionSt. John's WestSt. John's East
1976Burin—St. George'sHumber—Port au Port—St. BarbeGrand Falls—White Bay—LabradorGander—TwillingateBonavista—Trinity—ConceptionSt. John's WestSt. John's East
1987Burin—St. George'sHumber—St. Barbe—Baie VerteLabradorGander—Grand FallsBonavista—Trinity—ConceptionSt. John's WestSt. John's East
1996Burin—St. George'sHumber—St. Barbe—Baie VerteLabradorGander—Grand FallsBonavista—Trinity—ConceptionSt. John's WestSt. John's East
2003Random—Burin—St. George'sHumber—St. Barbe—Baie VerteLabradorBonavista—Gander—Grand Falls—WindsorRandom—Burin—St. George'sAvalonSt. John's South—Mount PearlSt. John's EastAvalon
2012Bonavista—Burin—TrinityLong Range MountainsCoast of Bays—Central—Notre DameLabradorCoast of Bays—Central—Notre DameBonavista—Burin—TrinityAvalonSt. John's South—Mount PearlSt. John's EastAvalon

2021

See main article: 2021 Canadian federal election. |-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Avalon|||Ken McDonald
18,608
50.10%||Matthew Chapman
12,738
34.29%||Carolyn Davis
5,151
13.87%||Lainie Stewart
647
1.74%|||Ken McDonald|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Bonavista—Burin—Trinity|||Churence Rogers
13,972
46.59%||Sharon Vokey
12,278
40.94%||Anne Marie Anonsen
2,484
8.28%||Linda Hogan
1,257
4.19%|||Churence Rogers|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame ||Scott Simms
14,646
46.01%|||Clifford Small
14,927
46.89%||Jamie Ruby
2,261
7.10%|||||Scott Simms|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Labrador|||Yvonne Jones
4,119
42.67%||Shane Dumaresque
2,930
30.35%||Amy Norman
2,297
23.80%||Shannon Champion
307
3.18%|||Yvonne Jones|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Long Range Mountains|||Gudie Hutchings
16,178
44.39%||Carol Anstey
14,344
39.36%||Kaila Mintz
4,347
11.93%||Darrell Shelley
1,578
4.33%|||Gudie Hutchings|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |St. John's East|||Joanne Thompson
17,239
45.16%||Glenn Etchegary
7,119
18.65%||Mary Shortall
13,090
34.29%||Dana Metcalfe
723
1.89%|||Jack Harris[6] |-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |St. John's South—Mount Pearl|||Seamus O'Regan
19,478
56.17%||Steve Hodder
6,447
18.59%||Ray Critch
8,113
23.40%||Georgia Faith Stewart
638
1.84%|||Seamus O'Regan|}

2019

See main article: 2019 Canadian federal election in Newfoundland and Labrador. |-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Avalon|||Kenneth McDonald
19,122
46.26%||Matthew Chapman
12,855
31.10%||Lea Mary Movelle
7,142
17.28%||Greg Malone
2,215
5.36%|||||Ken McDonald (politician)|Ken McDonald|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Bonavista—Burin—Trinity|||Churence Rogers
14,707
45.70%||Sharon Vokey
12,697
39.46%||Matthew Cooper
3,855
11.98%||Kelsey Reichel
920
2.86%|||||Churence Rogers|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame |||Scott Simms
16,514
48.31%||Alex Bracci
12,081
35.34%||Noel Joe
4,224
12.36%||Byron White
1,363
3.99%|||||Scott Simms|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Labrador|||Yvonne Jones
4,851
42.48%||Larry Flemming
3,548
31.07%||Michelene Gray
2,796
24.49%||Tyler Colbourne
224
1.96%|||||Yvonne Jones|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Long Range Mountains|||Gudie Hutchings
18,199
47.36%||Josh Eisses
10,873
28.30%||Holly Pike
7,609
19.80%||Lucas Knill
1,334
3.47%||Robert Miles (VCP)
411
1.07%|||Gudie Hutchings|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |St. John's East||Nick Whalen
14,962
33.20%||Joedy Wall
8,141
18.06%|||Jack Harris
21,148
46.92%||David Peters
821
1.82%|||||Nick Whalen|-| style="background-color:whitesmoke" |St. John's South—Mount Pearl|||Seamus O'Regan
20,793
51.13%||Terry Martin
7,767
19.10%||Anne Marie Anonsen
10,890
26.78%||Alexandra Hayward
740
1.82%||David Jones (CHP)
141
0.35%
Benjamin Ruckpaul (PPC)
335
0.82%|||Seamus O'Regan|}

2015

See main article: 2015 Canadian federal election.

2011

See main article: 2011 Canadian federal election.

2008

See main article: 2008 Canadian federal election.

2006

See main article: 2006 Canadian federal election. The Liberals won four seats and the Conservatives three. The open Avalon seat changed hands from the Liberals to the Tories. The seat had been held by Natural Resources Minister John Efford, who had retired. Otherwise, there was little change from the previous election.

2004

See main article: 2004 Canadian federal election. One of the biggest questions of the 2004 election was whether the new Conservative Party of Canada could match the old federal PC Party's level of support in Atlantic Canada. With Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial PC government unpopular over mandating an end to the previous year's public service strike, any province-wide success for 2004 was seen as unlikely. The Conservatives lost one of their three seats (previously gained in a byelection) and held their rump in St. John's. Des McGrath was seen as the NDP's best chance of electing a candidate in the province in several decades, but he still fell nearly 4000 votes short of winning Random—Burin—St. George's.

Maps

  1. Avalon
  2. Bonavista-Exploits
  3. Humber-St. Barbe-Baie Verte
  4. Labrador
  5. Random-Burin-St. George's
  6. St. John's North
  7. St. John's South

2000

See main article: 2000 Canadian federal election. Despite a slight gain compared to the Reform Party's results in the province in 1997, the Canadian Alliance obtained its worst provincial share of votes in Newfoundland and Labrador.

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Manning takes Avalon as Grits hold 4 ridings. CBC News. January 23, 2006. 2014-10-09.
  2. News: NDP's Cleary knocks Liberals out of St. John's riding . CBC News . May 2, 2011. May 25, 2018.
  3. News: Innu leader delivers Conservatives from N.L. shutout. Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 2011-05-02. 2018-05-25.
  4. Web site: Jack Harris 'surprised' after being ousted by Nick Whalen in St. John's East. Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 20 October 2015. 22 October 2015.
  5. Web site: NDP acknowledges defeat; loses two N.L. seats. The Telegram. St. John's. 20 October 2015. 22 October 2015.
  6. News: St. John's East MP Jack Harris Decides Not to Run for Re-Election . 11 June 2021 . . . 11 June 2021.