2024 California Republican presidential primary explained

Election Name:2024 California Republican presidential primary
Country:California
Type:primary
Ongoing:Yes
Previous Election:2020 California Republican presidential primary
Previous Year:2020
Next Election:2028 California Republican presidential primary
Next Year:2028
Election Date:March 5, 2024
Outgoing Members:AR
Elected Members:CO
Votes For Election:169 Republican National Convention delegates
Image1:Donald Trump 2023 (cropped).jpg
Candidate1:Donald Trump
Color1:283681
Home State1:Florida
Popular Vote1:1,962,905
Percentage1:79.25%[1]
Delegate Count1:169
Candidate2:Nikki Haley
Color2:fe6100
Home State2:South Carolina
Popular Vote2:431,876
Percentage2:17.44%[2]
Delegate Count2:0

The 2024 California Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 169 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a winner-take-most basis.[3] The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.

Background

Procedure

If a candidate gets over 50% of the total statewide vote, they are awarded all of the state's delegates. Otherwise, the delegates are allocated proportionally.

Candidates

The following candidates were certified:[4]

Campaign

Events

On June 19, 2023, Ron DeSantis held a private breakfast event at the Del Paso Country Club in Sacramento, California, hosting business leaders in the region to raise funds for his campaign. It was his first campaign stop in California since his administration in Florida transported migrants from the border with Mexico to Sacramento. The event was attended by state legislators Joe Patterson and Tom Lackey, who endorsed DeSantis after the event.[6]

The California Republican Party held its annual fall convention from September 29 to October 1, 2023, in Anaheim. Featured speakers included DeSantis, Donald Trump, Tim Scott, and Vivek Ramaswamy.[7] Trump's speech included calling on police to enact violent retribution on criminals, stating he will "immediately stop all of the pillaging and theft."[8]

Debate

The second Republican primary debate was held at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California, on September 27, 2023. It was hosted by Fox Business, Rumble, and Univision, and moderated by Stuart Varney, Dana Perino, and Ilia Calderón. Seven of the eight candidates who attended the first debate were present: Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Tim Scott.[9]

Endorsements

See main article: Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries.

Polling

Aggregate polls

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Larry
Elder
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
OtherUndecided
Morning Consult[11] Nov 1–30, 20232,347 (LV)2%10%8%0%7%71%1%
Public Policy Institute of California[12] Nov 9–16, 2023276 (LV)5%12%13%0%2%2%56%1%9%
Emerson College[13] Nov 11–14, 2023331 (LV)4%11%-5%2%3%-63%1%11%
UC Berkeley IGS[14] Oct 24–30, 20231,234 (LV)± 4.0%2%12%1%9%3%1%57%5%11%
Public Policy Institute of California[15] Oct 3–19, 2023316 (LV)4%12%0%9%0%6%5%3%53%5%1%
Data Viewpoint[16] October 1, 2023533 (RV)± 4.3%5.5%17.5%15.2%<1%3.0%3.6%2.9%49.8%1.7%
California's Choice[17] Aug 27–29, 2023750 (LV)4.8%21.6%15.6%0.5%4.4%9.6%0.8%43.4%2.6%
UC Berkeley IGS[18] Aug 24–29, 20231,175 (LV)± 4.0%3%16%1%7%3%4%2%55%9%
Public Policy Institute of California[19] Jun 7–29, 2023267 (LV)3%24%3%6%1%5%50%7%1%
Emerson College[20] Jun 4–7, 2023329 (LV)± 2.9%2%19%6%10%2%4%53%7%
Public Policy Institute of California[21] May 17–24, 2023295 (LV)± 7%1%21%3%10%1%2%50%11%2%
UC Berkeley IGS[22] May 17–22, 20231,835 (RV)± 3.5%1%26%0%3%0%4%2%1%44%6%13%
UC Berkeley IGS[23] Feb 14–20, 20231,755 (RV)± 3.5%37%7%3%1%29%8%10%
50%33%6%11%
UC Berkeley IGS[24] Aug 9–15, 20229,254 (RV)± 3.0%0%27%3%7%0%38%10%14%
0%53%4%9%1%15%17%

See also

Notes and References

  1. Web site: March 5, 2024. California Republican Presidential Nominating Process. April 24, 2024. sos.ca.gov. April 13, 2024. https://web.archive.org/web/20240413044714/https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/sov/2024-primary/sov/complete-sov.pdf. dead.
  2. Web site: March 5, 2024. California Republican Presidential Nominating Process. April 24, 2024. sos.ca.gov. April 13, 2024. https://web.archive.org/web/20240413044714/https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/sov/2024-primary/sov/complete-sov.pdf. dead.
  3. Web site: March 5, 2023 . California Republican Presidential Nominating Process. February 6, 2023 . The Green Papers.
  4. Web site: December 28, 2023 . Certified List of Presidential Candidates for voter-nominated offices for the March 5, 2024, presidential primary election. December 29, 2023 . Secretary of State of California.
  5. Web site: Chris Christie ends 2024 presidential campaign. CNN. January 10, 2024. January 10, 2024. Krieg. Gregory.
  6. Web site: Zavala . Ashley . June 20, 2023 . Here's What We Know About GOP Presidential Candidate Ron DeSantis' Sacramento Fundraiser . June 20, 2023 . . en.
  7. Web site: Fall 2023 Convention Schedule . . August 22, 2023 .
  8. News: Trump animates California Republicans with calls to shoot people who rob stores . . Michael R. . Blood . Jonathan J. . Cooper . September 29, 2023 .
  9. Web site: Scott finally showed a pulse. Ramaswamy did a 180. Here's who won and lost the second GOP debate.. Politico. September 28, 2023. September 29, 2023.
  10. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/california/ FiveThirtyEight
  11. https://pro.morningconsult.com/analyst-reports/2024-state-level-republican-primary-polling Morning Consult
  12. https://www.ppic.org/publication/ppic-statewide-survey-californians-and-their-government-december-2023/ Public Policy Institute of California
  13. https://emersoncollegepolling.com/california-2024-tight-race-for-u-s-senate-nomination-between-schiff-porter-garvey-and-lee-plurality-remain-undecided/ Emerson College
  14. https://escholarship.org/content/qt0w56520d/qt0w56520d.pdf?t=s3r7wf UC Berkeley IGS
  15. https://www.ppic.org/wp-content/uploads/crosstabs-likely-voters-1123.pdf Public Policy Institute of California
  16. https://img1.wsimg.com/blobby/go/e9d74618-7b92-41a9-b0d1-6ddcfc12d063/Data%20Viewpoint%20poll%20Oct%201%202023.pdf Data Viewpoint
  17. https://sites.google.com/view/californiaschoice/home California's Choice
  18. https://escholarship.org/content/qt4fj3k66d/qt4fj3k66d.pdf?t=s0jenv&v=lg UC Berkeley IGS
  19. https://www.ppic.org/publication/ppic-statewide-survey-californians-and-the-environment-july-2023/ Public Policy Institute of California
  20. https://emersoncollegepolling.com/california-poll-majority-of-california-voters-think-feinstein-should-resign/ Emerson College
  21. https://www.ppic.org/publication/ppic-statewide-survey-californians-and-their-government-june-2023/ Public Policy Institute of California
  22. https://escholarship.org/uc/item/8j93p7sj UC Berkeley IGS
  23. https://escholarship.org/uc/item/9rh552hz? UC Berkeley IGS
  24. https://mailchi.mp/berkeley.edu/berkeley-igs-poll-2022-11-primary-election-preferences-1186216 UC Berkeley IGS