2022 Iowa gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2022 Iowa gubernatorial election
Country:Iowa
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2018 Iowa gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2018
Next Election:2026 Iowa gubernatorial election
Next Year:2026
Election Date:November 8, 2022
Image1:File:Kim Reynolds (53130166376) (cropped).jpg
Nominee1:Kim Reynolds
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Running Mate1:Adam Gregg
Popular Vote1:709,198
Percentage1:58.04%
Nominee2:Deidre DeJear
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Running Mate2:Eric Van Lancker
Popular Vote2:482,950
Percentage2:39.53%
Governor
Before Election:Kim Reynolds
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Kim Reynolds
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Turnout:55.06% 6.09pp

The 2022 Iowa gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Iowa. Incumbent Republican Governor Kim Reynolds won re-election to a second full term in a landslide,[1] defeating Democratic nominee Deidre DeJear with 58.0% of the vote.

First elected as lieutenant governor in 2010, Reynolds assumed the governorship on May 24, 2017, following the resignation of Governor Terry Branstad become the U.S. Ambassador to China. She was elected in her own right in 2018 in what was considered a minor upset, before dramatically increasing her vote share in 2022.[2]

Reynolds flipped seven counties that had voted Democratic in the previous gubernatorial election: Black Hawk, Clinton, Des Moines, Dubuque, Jefferson, Lee, and Scott.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Declined

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Minor parties and independents

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Independents

Declared

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[19] July 26, 2022
align=left Inside Elections[20] July 22, 2022
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] June 29, 2022
Politico[22] August 12, 2022
align=left RCP[23] January 10, 2022
align=left Fox News[24] May 12, 2022
538[25] July 31, 2022
Elections Daily[26] November 7, 2022

Polling

Aggregate polls
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kim
Reynolds (R)
Deidre
DeJear (D)
Rick
Stewart (L)
OtherUndecided
Selzer & Co.October 31 – November 3, 2022801 (LV)± 3.5%54%37%4%2%3%
Cygnal (R)October 26–27, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%57%38%5%
CiviqsOctober 22–25, 2022623 (LV)± 5.2%54%42%2%1%
The Tarrance Group (R)October 15–19, 2022600 (LV)± 4.1%56%39%5%
Selzer & Co.October 9–12, 2022620 (LV)± 3.9%52%35%4%4%4%
Emerson CollegeOctober 2–4, 2022959 (LV)± 3.1%53%36%1%2%9%
Cygnal (R)October 2–4, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%59%38%3%
Cygnal (R)July 13–14, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%56%41%3%
Selzer & Co.July 10–13, 2022597 (LV)± 4.0%48%31%5%5%9%
Selzer & Co.February 28 – March 2, 2022612 (LV)± 4.0%51%43%1%5%
Cygnal (R) February 20–22, 2022610 (LV)± 3.9%55%38%7%

Debates

! scope="col"
DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDemocratic
Key: Participant  Absent  Non-invitee  Invitee Withdrawn
Kim ReynoldsDeidre DeJear
2Oct. 18, 2022Local ABC 5Youtube

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Dress . Brad . Iowa's GOP governor Reynolds launches reelection bid . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20220310031023/https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/597638-iowas-gop-governor-reynolds-launches-reelection-bid . March 10, 2022 . March 9, 2022 . The Hill . en-US.
  2. Web site: Gov. Kim Reynolds secures second term, promises policies to let Iowans 'keep more of your money' . 2022-11-10 . The Des Moines Register . en-US.
  3. Web site: Dress. Brad. Iowa's GOP governor Reynolds launches reelection bid. March 9, 2022. The Hill. en-US. March 10, 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220310031023/https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/597638-iowas-gop-governor-reynolds-launches-reelection-bid. live.
  4. Web site: Dunlap . Natalie . Rep. Ashley Hinson announces reelection campaign, with support of Iowa Republicans, Sen. Ted Cruz . www.dailyiowan.com . The Daily Iowan . August 29, 2021 . August 29, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210829005005/https://dailyiowan.com/2021/08/28/rep-ashley-hinson-announces-reelection-with-support-of-iowa-republicans-sen-ted-cruz/ . live .
  5. Web site: May 2, 2022 . 2022 Iowa Primary Election guide . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20220420070030/https://www.kcci.com/article/iowa-primary-election-results-2022/39501498#:~:text=Deidre%20DeJear%20is%20the%20only%20Democrat%20running%20for%20the%20office. . April 20, 2022 . April 19, 2022.
  6. Web site: State Rep. Ras Smith announces campaign for Iowa governor. May 15, 2021. www.KCRG.com. June 16, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210616043105/https://www.kcrg.com/2021/06/15/state-rep-ras-smith-announces-campaign-iowa-governor/. live.
  7. Web site: Democrat Ras Smith suspends campaign for Iowa governor. Des Moines Register. Gruber-Miller. Stephen. January 5, 2022. January 5, 2022. May 2, 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220502204554/https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2022/01/05/democratic-state-rep-ras-smith-suspends-his-campaign-iowa-governor-against-kim-reynolds/9101454002/. live.
  8. Web site: Pfannenstiel. Brianne. Cindy Axne will run for reelection in Congress, closing the door on Iowa gubernatorial bid. November 12, 2021. Des Moines Register. en-US. May 2, 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220502204555/https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2021/11/12/cindy-axne-reelection-for-congress-third-district-2022-close-door-iowa-governor-bid/6343377001/. live.
  9. Web site: Capitol Ideas: Iowa Democrats hope for big year in 2021. May 7, 2021. www.thegazette.com. en-US. May 6, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210506105444/https://www.thegazette.com/news/capitol-ideas-iowa-democrats-hope-for-big-year-in-2021/. live.
  10. Web site: Iowa taking a hard turn right Storm Lake Times. May 7, 2021. www.stormlake.com. January 26, 2021. May 5, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210505173219/https://www.stormlake.com/articles/iowa-taking-a-hard-turn-right/. live.
  11. Web site: Abby Finkenauer announces Senate bid in Iowa. CNN. Merica. Dan. July 22, 2021. July 22, 2021. July 22, 2021. https://web.archive.org/web/20210722140802/https://www.cnn.com/2021/07/22/politics/abby-finkenauer-senate-run/index.html. live.
  12. Web site: Gruber-Miller. Stephen. December 7, 2021. Democrat Rob Sand to seek reelection as Iowa state auditor, won't run for governor in 2022. December 7, 2021. www.desmoinesregister.com. The Des Moines Register. en-US. May 2, 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220502204555/https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2021/12/07/democrat-rob-sand-seeking-re-election-state-auditor-wont-run-iowa-governor-race-2022/6423059001/. live.
  13. Web site: December 16, 2020. Rob Sand may run for higher office in 2022; Cindy Axne non-committal. Bleeding Heartland. en. January 2, 2021. December 19, 2020. https://web.archive.org/web/20201219050416/https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2020/12/16/rob-sand-may-run-for-higher-office-in-2022-cindy-axne-non-committal/. live.
  14. Web site: Murphy . Erin . Iowa Democrats hope for brighter future . The Gazette . en . January 2, 2021 . November 18, 2018 . https://web.archive.org/web/20181118073849/https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/government/iowa-democrats-future-20181117 . live .
  15. Web site: Pfannenstiel . Brianne . Rick Stewart, Iowa Libertarian candidate for governor, wants to 'Make Iowa Nice Again' . March 12, 2022 . Des Moines Register . en-US . May 2, 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220502204556/https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2022/02/28/iowa-libertarian-rick-stewart-files-run-governor-2022/6938949001/ . live .
  16. Web site: 2022 a rebuilding year for Iowa Libertarians . March 12, 2022 . www.thegazette.com . en-US . March 21, 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220321134554/https://www.thegazette.com/staff-columnists/2022-a-rebuilding-year-for-iowa-libertarians/ . live .
  17. Web site: Stewart files to be the Libertarian Party of Iowa candidate for Iowa Governor | The Iowa Torch. Iowa. Torch. March 3, 2022.
  18. Web site: Reynolds' challengers hope for lightning strike . July 9, 2021 . live . https://web.archive.org/web/20210718021709/https://wcfcourier.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/reynolds-challengers-hope-for-lightning-strike/article_c1fe8ddf-9dd7-5329-82bf-325e05debfae.html . July 18, 2021 . July 18, 2021.
  19. Web site: 2022 Governor Race Ratings . The Cook Political Report . February 4, 2021 . January 5, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210105151720/https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/governor-race-ratings . live .
  20. Web site: February 19, 2021 . Gubernatorial Ratings . . February 18, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210218105651/http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor . live .
  21. Web site: 2022 Gubernatorial race ratings . Sabato's Crystal Ball . March 11, 2021 . March 11, 2021 . https://web.archive.org/web/20210311135129/https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2022-governor/ . live .
  22. Web site: Iowa Governor Race 2022. April 1, 2022. Politico. April 20, 2022. April 20, 2022. https://web.archive.org/web/20220420023041/https://www.politico.com/2022-election/race-forecasts-ratings-and-predictions/iowa/governor/. live.
  23. Web site: January 10, 2022 . 2022 Governor Races . January 10, 2022 . . January 10, 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220110090713/https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/governor/elections-map.html . live .
  24. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . Fox News . May 12, 2022 . May 12, 2022.
  25. Web site: 2022 Election Forecast . FiveThirtyEight . June 30, 2022 . June 30, 2022.
  26. Web site: Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings . Szymanski . Joe . Elections Daily . November 7, 2022 . November 28, 2022.