Election Name: | 2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election |
Country: | North Carolina |
Type: | presidential |
Ongoing: | no |
Previous Election: | 2016 North Carolina gubernatorial election |
Previous Year: | 2016 |
Next Election: | 2024 North Carolina gubernatorial election |
Next Year: | 2024 |
Election Date: | November 3, 2020 |
Turnout: | 75.35% 6.37pp |
Image1: | File:Roy Cooper in November 2023 (cropped).jpg |
Nominee1: | Roy Cooper |
Party1: | Democratic Party (United States) |
Popular Vote1: | 2,834,790 |
Percentage1: | 51.52% |
Nominee2: | Dan Forest |
Party2: | Republican Party (United States) |
Popular Vote2: | 2,586,605 |
Percentage2: | 47.01% |
Map Size: | 325px |
Governor | |
Before Election: | Roy Cooper |
Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
After Election: | Roy Cooper |
After Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
The 2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the Governor of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to one-third of the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Governor Roy Cooper was eligible to run for re-election to a second term in office, and announced his intention to do so on December 5, 2019.[1]
Under a 2018 state law, party primary elections were held on March 3, 2020.[2]
Cooper was re-elected to a second term by a closer margin than polls forecasted, defeating the Republican nominee, Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest. Cooper's re-election win made him the first Governor of North Carolina to win re-election since fellow Democrat Mike Easley in 2004. Once again, Cooper outperformed other Democrats on the ballot. With a margin of 4.51%, this election was the second closest of the 2020 gubernatorial election cycle, the closest being the election in Puerto Rico.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Roy Cooper | Ernest Reeves | Undecided | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
High Point University | February 21–28, 2020 | 269 (LV) | – | 74% | 13% | 13% | |
468 (RV) | – | 68% | 14% | 18% | |||
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV | February 13–16, 2020 | 698 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 73% | 9% | 18% | |
High Point University | January 31 – February 6, 2020 | 198 (LV) | – | 80% | 8% | 12% | |
400 (RV) | – | 69% | 10% | 21% | |||
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Dan Forest | Holly Grange | Pat McCrory | Undecided | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
High Point University | February 21–28, 2020 | 246 (LV) | – | 74% | 13% | – | 13% | |||||||
443 (RV) | – | 64% | 12% | – | 24% | |||||||||
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV | February 13–16, 2020 | 698 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 60% | 8% | – | 32% | |||||||
High Point University | January 31 – February 6, 2020 | 198 (LV) | – | 67% | 8% | – | 25% | |||||||
400 (RV) | – | 54% | 10% | – | 36% | |||||||||
McCrory announces he will not run | ||||||||||||||
Harper Polling (R) | December 2–4, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 31% | 3% | 42% | 25% |
Source | Ranking | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[10] | October 23, 2020 | ||
Inside Elections[11] | October 28, 2020 | ||
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | November 2, 2020 | ||
Politico[13] | November 2, 2020 | ||
Daily Kos[14] | October 28, 2020 | ||
RCP[15] | November 2, 2020 | ||
270towin[16] | November 2, 2020 |
A debate between Cooper and Forest occurred 7:00 pm EDT, October 14, 2020.[17]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Roy Cooper (D) | Dan Forest (R) | Other / Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Swayable | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 655 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 55% | 43% | 2% | ||
Frederick Polls (D) | October 30–31, 2020 | 676 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 45% | 3% | ||
Emerson College | October 29–31, 2020 | 855 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 55% | 45% | 1% | ||
CNN/SSRS | October 23–30, 2020 | 901 (LV) | ± 4% | 52% | 42% | 5% | ||
East Carolina University | October 27–28, 2020 | 1,103 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 54% | 43% | 2% | ||
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) | October 27–28, 2020 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 45% | 8% | ||
Marist College/NBC | October 25–28, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 59% | 40% | 1% | ||
Gravis Marketing | October 26–27, 2020 | 614 (LV) | ± 4% | 51% | 43% | 6% | ||
Meeting Street Insights (R) | October 24–27, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 51% | 43% | – | ||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | October 23–27, 2020 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 42% | 7% | ||
RMG Research | October 24–26, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 41% | 6% | ||
Swayable | October 23–26, 2020 | 386 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 53% | 44% | 3% | ||
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TV | October 23–26, 2020 | 627 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 42% | 6% | ||
YouGov/UMass Amherst | October 20–26, 2020 | 911 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 54% | 42% | 3% | ||
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) | October 22–25, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 42% | 5% | ||
Meredith College | October 16–19, 2020 | 732 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 34% | 16% | ||
East Carolina University | October 15–18, 2020 | 1,155 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 53% | 44% | 2% | ||
Emerson College | October 13–14, 2020 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 46% | 4% | ||
Civiqs/Daily Kos | October 11–14, 2020 | 1,211 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 53% | 46% | 1% | ||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | October 9–13, 2020 | 627 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 37% | 12% | ||
Monmouth University | October 8–11, 2020 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 44% | 5% | ||
500 (LV) | 52% | 44% | 3% | |||||
500 (LV) | 51% | 46% | 3% | |||||
SurveyUSA | October 8–11, 2020 | 669 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 52% | 39% | 10% | ||
RMG Research | October 7–11, 2020 | 800 (LV) | – | 51% | 37% | 12% | ||
Public Policy Polling | October 4–5, 2020 | 911 (V) | ± 3.3% | 52% | 40% | 8% | ||
East Carolina University | October 2–4, 2020 | 1,232 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 53% | 40% | 7% | ||
ALG Research (D) | September 22–28, 2020 | 822 (V) | – | 53% | 43% | – | ||
YouGov/UMass Lowell | September 18–25, 2020 | 921 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 54% | 41% | 4% | ||
Meredith College | September 18–22, 2020 | 705 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 39% | 11% | ||
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) | September 17–20, 2020 | 612 (LV) | ± 3.96% | 46% | 39% | 14% | ||
Siena College/NYT Upshot | September 11–16, 2020 | 653 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 42% | 10% | ||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | September 12–15, 2020 | 1,092 (LV) | ± 2.97% | 55% | 36% | 9% | ||
Suffolk University | September 10–14, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 38% | 12% | ||
SurveyUSA | September 10–13, 2020 | 596 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 49% | 42% | 10% | ||
CNN/SSRS | September 9–13, 2020 | 787 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 53% | 44% | 2% | ||
893 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 42% | 5% | ||||
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report | August 29 – September 13, 2020 | 1,116 (RV) | – | 48% | 38% | 14% | ||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 30 – September 3, 2020 | 951 (LV) | ± 3.18% | 54% | 35% | 11% | ||
Monmouth University | August 29 – September 1, 2020 | 401 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 40% | 8% | ||
401 (LV) | 51% | 42% | 7% | |||||
401 (LV) | 51% | 42% | 7% | |||||
East Carolina University | August 29–30, 2020 | 1,101 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 40% | 10% | ||
Redfield and Wilton Strategies | August 16–19, 2020 | 967 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 38% | 11% | ||
East Carolina University | August 12–13, 2020 | 1,255 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 52% | 38% | 11% | ||
Emerson College | August 8–10, 2020 | 673 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 44% | 7% | ||
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) | August 6–10, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 13% | ||
Public Policy Polling (D) | July 23–24, 2020 | 884 (V) | ± 3.4% | 53% | 42% | 5% | ||
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) | July 22–24, 2020 | 735 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 46% | 8% | ||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | July 19–23, 2020 | 919 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 51% | 37% | 12% | ||
Marist College/NBC News | July 14–22, 2020 | 882 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 58% | 38% | 4% | ||
Cardinal Point Analytics (R) | July 13–15, 2020 | 547 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 46% | 5% | ||
East Carolina University | June 22–25, 2020 | 1,149 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 38% | 13% | ||
Public Policy Polling | June 22–23, 2020 | 1,157 (V) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 41% | 10% | ||
NYT Upshot/Siena College | June 8–18, 2020 | 653 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 39% | 11% | ||
Gravis Marketing (R) | June 17, 2020 | 631 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 46% | 8% | ||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | June 14–17, 2020 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 31% | 17% | ||
Public Policy Polling | June 2–3, 2020 | 913 | ± 3.2% | 50% | 39% | 11% | ||
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) | May 26–28, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 37% | 14% | ||
Neighbourhood Research & Media | May 12–21, 2020 | 391 (LV) | – | 47% | 35% | 18% | ||
Meeting Street Insights (R) | May 9–13, 2020 | 500 (RV) | – | 55% | 37% | 8% | ||
East Carolina University | May 7–9, 2020 | 1,111 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 36% | 13% | ||
Civiqs/Daily Kos | May 2–4, 2020 | 1,362 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 44% | 3% | ||
Meredith College | April 27–28, 2020 | 604 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 32% | 16% | ||
SurveyUSA | April 23–26, 2020 | 580 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 57% | 30% | 13% | ||
Public Policy Polling | April 20–21, 2020 | 1,275 (V) | ± 3.2% | 53% | 40% | 7% | ||
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) | April 13–18, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55% | 36% | 9% | ||
Public Policy Polling | April 14–15, 2020 | 1,318 (V) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 36% | 13% | ||
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) | April 5–7, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 33% | 17% | ||
East Carolina University | February 27–28, 2020 | 1,288 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 41% | 10% | ||
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) | October 15–17, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 36% | 18% | ||
Meredith College | September 29 – October 7, 2019 | 996 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 33% | 21% | ||
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) | August 1–4, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 36% | 16% | ||
Public Policy Polling | June 17–18, 2019 | 610 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 41% | 14% | ||
Harper Polling (R) | June 8–10, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 37% | 16% | ||
Emerson College | May 31 – June 3, 2019 | 932 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 52% | 38% | 10% | ||
Spry Strategies (R) | May 25 – June 1, 2019 | 730 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 44% | 16% | ||
Public Policy Polling | January 4–7, 2019 | 750 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 35% | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Roy Cooper (D) | Holly Grange (R) | Other / Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
East Carolina University | February 27–28, 2020 | 1,288 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 33% | 18% | ||
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) | October 15–17, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 27% | 27% | ||
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) | August 1–4, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 30% | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Roy Cooper (D) | Phil Berger (R) | Other / Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 17–18, 2019 | 610 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 39% | 16% | ||
Public Policy Polling | January 4–7, 2019 | 750 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 34% | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Roy Cooper (D) | Pat McCrory (R) | Other / Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) | October 15–17, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 38% | 18% | ||
Harper Polling/Civitas (R) | August 1–4, 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 38% | 14% | ||
Public Policy Polling | January 4–7, 2019 | 750 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Roy Cooper (D) | Tim Moore (R) | Other / Undecided | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 17–18, 2019 | 610 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 38% | 16% | ||
Public Policy Polling | January 4–7, 2019 | 750 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 32% | 22% |
Despite winning a majority of the popular vote, Gov. Roy Cooper only won 5 of 13 congressional districts.[18]
District | Forest | Cooper | Representative | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
42.6% | 56.4% | G. K. Butterfield | ||||
31.4% | 67.0% | Deborah K. Ross | ||||
58.5% | 40.0% | Greg Murphy | ||||
29.9% | 68.8% | David Price | ||||
63.5% | 35.2% | Virginia Foxx | ||||
34.2% | 64.2% | Kathy Manning | ||||
54.5% | 44.0% | David Rouzer | ||||
49.2% | 49.0% | |||||
50.3% | 48.4% | Dan Bishop | ||||
63.7% | 35.0% | Patrick McHenry | ||||
52.2% | 46.3% | Madison Cawthorn | ||||
27.0% | 71.0% | Alma Adams | ||||
62.9% | 35.9% | Ted Budd |